Alphabet (GOOGL) Q1 2025 Earnings Review

Alphabet (GOOGL) Q1 2025 Earnings Review

Table of Contents

a. Key Points

  • Wonderfully durable financial performance.
  • Positive commentary on ad demand headwinds from the trade war.
  • Remains #1 in streaming.
  • Cloud remains supply constrained.

b. Demand

  • Beat revenue estimates by 1.2%.
  • Search revenue beat estimates by 0.8%.
  • Cloud revenue beat estimate by 0.7%.
  • YouTube slightly beat revenue estimates.

c. Profits & Margins

  • Beat EBIT estimate by 6.4%.
    • EBIT rose by 20% Y/Y; OpEx rose by 9% Y/Y; R&D rose by 14% Y/Y – led by ramping depreciation expenses via all of the 2023 and 2024 CapEx growth.
    • G&A rose by 17% Y/Y, with higher legal expenses materially adding to the cost line.
  • Beat $2.01 EPS estimates by $0.80 or by $0.18 excluding equity gains. Mark-to-market equity gains added $0.62 to this quarter’s EPS. Excluding this help, EPS grew by 16% Y/Y.
    • This is why I like when firms offer non-GAAP EPS alongside GAAP.
  • Beat free cash flow (FCF) estimates by 1%.

d. Balance Sheet

  • $95B in cash & equivalents; $51B in non-marketable securities.
  • $10.9B in debt.
  • 1.9% Y/Y share dilution. Announced a new $70B buyback program (3.5% of the market cap).
  • Spent $17.2B in CapEx for the quarter.

e. Guidance & Valuation

Alphabet reiterated its $75B CapEx guidance for the year. It continued to guide to accelerating depreciation expenses due to all of this CapEx growth. EPS is expected to grow by 16% this year and by 9% next year. EBIT is expected to compound at a 13% clip for the next two years.

f. Call & Release

Full-Stack AI: