Table of Contents

a. Key Points

  • The premium segment continues to outperform ad-based.

  • The advertising gross margin contraction is temporary.

  • Spotify is investing in more compute and product marketing.

  • Recent price hikes went well.

b. Demand

  • Met revenue estimate & beat guidance by 0.6%.

    • Premium revenue beat estimate by 1%.

    • Ad-supported revenue missed estimate by 9%.

  • Beat monthly active user (MAU) estimate & identical guidance by 2 million each.

  • Met premium subscriber estimate.

  • Beat premium average revenue per user (ARPU) estimate by 1.4%.

  • More context on demand later in this piece.

c. Profits & Margins

  • Beat 32.8% GPM estimate by 20 basis points (bps; 1 basis point = 0.01%) & beat guidance by 20 bps.

  • Beat EBIT estimate by 4.4% & beat guidance by 8.3%.

  • Beat FCF estimate by 4.3%.

  • More context on margins later in this piece.

d. Balance Sheet

  • €8.8B in cash, equivalents, restricted cash & short-term investments.

  • Diluted share count fell by 0.5% Y/Y.

  • Paid off their convertible notes this quarter.

e. Guidance & Valuation

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