Table of Contents

a. Demand

  • Met bookings estimate & met bookings growth guidance. Delivery and Freight outperformed. Mobility underperformed. More later.

    • Mobility bookings missed estimates by 1.3%.

    • Delivery bookings slightly beat estimates.

    • Freight beat estimates by 20%. Great to see this sharply accelerating well beyond expectations. Uber cited better execution as the main reason why.

  • Met revenue estimate. 

  • Met monthly active platform consumer estimate. 

  • Beat trips estimate by 1%.

    • The rise in gross bookings per trip was mix-shift driven rather than Uber raising prices on services. Higher-margin premium mobility and delivery products outgrew the overall base.

Revenue growth excluding their UK business model change was 18% Y/Y. As a reminder, they reclassified driver payments from cost of revenue to contra-revenue and a similar impact will be in place for Q4 too.

b. Profits

  • Beat EBITDA estimate by 1% & beat guidance by 1.7%.

  • Beat EBIT estimate by 2%. EBIT rose by 38% Y/Y. GAAP EBIT rose by 30% Y/Y.

    • Mobility EBIT margin improved from 24.3% to 31.4% Y/Y.

    • Delivery EBIT margin improved from 18.1% to 19.3% Y/Y.

    • Freight EBIT margin improved from -3.1% to -1.9% Y/Y.

  • Slightly beat EPS estimate by $0.01 & beat guidance by $0.02. Net income rose by 29% Y/Y. 

    • EPS rose by 35% Y/Y.

  • Missed FCF estimate by 11.5%.

c. Balance Sheet

  • $10.1B cash & equivalents.

  • $11.5B investment.

  • $15.7B total debt. Raised €4.5B in new notes during the quarter, marking the first time it has raised debt in that currency.

d. Guidance & Valuation

  • Bookings guidance roughly met estimates. This represents 20% Y/Y constant currency (CC) growth.

    • They expect a 1 point CC mobility growth headwind from war in the Middle East.

  • EPS guidance met $0.97 estimates. This represents 36.5% Y/Y growth.

  • EBITDA guidance met $3.18B estimates.

  • FCF will be impacted by a one-off UK tax payment of $1.5B.

Uber trades for 16x forward EPS. EPS is expected to grow by 37% this year, 31% next year and 25% the year after that.

e. Call & Release Highlights

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