Table of Contents
In case you missed it:
- SoFi Earnings Review.
- Uber & Alphabet Earnings Reviews.
- AMD & PayPal Earnings Reviews.
- Palantir Earnings Review.
- Microsoft Earnings Review.
- Meta & ServiceNow Earnings Reviews.
- Starbucks Earnings Review.
- Apple & Tesla Earnings Reviews.
- Netflix Earnings Review.
- Taiwan Semi Earnings Review.
- Axon Deep Dive.
- My Current Portfolio & Performance (I cut a position last week).
a. Key Points
- 40% Y/Y AWS backlog growth.
- Leo is poised for 2026 commercialization.
- The chips business crossed $10B/year.
- 9th straight year of best-in-class marketplace prices.
b. Demand
- Beat revenue estimates by 0.9% & beat guidance by 1.9%.
- The foreign exchange (FX) growth tailwind was 150 basis points (bps; 1 basis point = 0.01%) vs. 190 bps expected.
- Slightly missed North America revenue estimates by 0.1%.
- Beat AWS revenue estimates by 2%.
- This was the fastest rate of AWS growth since Q3 2022. Strength was broad-based and acceleration was not aided by abnormally easy comps. At the same time, the Anthropic ramp and a half quarter of OpenAI ramping both helped a lot.
- The AWS backlog grew by 40% Y/Y and 22% Q/Q to $244B. This represents $44B in added Q/Q backlog vs. $5B last quarter and $6B the quarter before. Again, Anthropic and OpenAI helped a ton.
- Beat International revenue estimates by 2%.
- Slightly beat ad revenue estimates.
- Beat online store revenue estimates by 0.9%.


c. Profits
- Beat EBIT estimate by 1.6% & beat guidance by 6.4%
- Ex-special charges, Q4 2025 EBIT margin would have been 12.8% & Q3 2025 EBIT margin would have been 12%. The other periods were not impacted.
- This quarter, special charges included $1.1B to resolve an Italian tax dispute (hit international EBIT), $730M in severance (hit all 3 segments) and $610M in physical store asset impairment (hit North America segment) tied to its grocery business model change covered during the quarter.
- Missed $1.96 EPS estimate by $0.01.
- CapEx was 13% higher than expected.


d. Balance Sheet
- $123B in cash & equivalents.
- 12% Y/Y inventory growth.
- $65.6B debt.
- 0.8% Y/Y share count growth.